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Max Verstappen

When can Max Verstappen win the 2023 F1 World Championship?

RacingNews365 has crunched the numbers to find out when Max Verstappen can seal his third World Championship in 2023.

Verstappen Zandvoort podium
To news overview © XPBimages

2023 has firmly been the year of Max Verstappen and Red Bull as he is on the cusp of claiming a third World Drivers' Championship.

When Verstappen does claim the title, he will become just the fifth driver in the history of the World Championship to secure a hat-trick, joining Juan Manuel Fangio (four), Michael Schumacher (five), Sebastian Vettel (four) and Lewis Hamilton (four).

As of the 2023 Japanese Grand Prix, he has 400 points to his name following 13 wins and seven fastest laps from the 17 races, with two Sprint wins thrown in for good measure.

Across those 17 races, he has dropped just 35 points with teammate Sergio Perez the nearest challenger on 223 points.

That is a gap of 177 points with 180 points left on the board across the final six races of the year, which also includes Sprint weekends in Qatar, the United States and Brazil.

The table below, which will be updated after every Grand Prix until the title is won, factors in a best scenario for Verstappen in which he scores a maximum 26 points (34 on Sprint weekends) and Perez fails to score.

When can Max Verstappen win the 2023 F1 World Championship?

Race Points ahead of Perez Points remaining Win title?
Dutch 138 258 Not possible
Italy 145 232 Not possible
Singapore 151 206 Not possible
Japan 177 180 Not possible
Qatar - Sprint 185 172 Possible
Qatar 211 146 Possible
United States - Sprint 219 138 Possible
United States 245 112 Possible
Mexico 271 86 Possible
Brazil - Sprint 279 60 Possible
Brazil 305 52 Possible
Las Vegas 331 26 Possible
Abu Dhabi 357 0 Possible

History for Verstappen?

Based on the table above, the earliest Verstappen can win the title is at the Qatar Sprint race in October.

If he does so, it would mean Verstappen is the first driver to ever in the World Championship not in a Grand Prix.

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RESULTS 2024 F1 Spanish Grand Prix