Five races into the 2026 Formula 1 season and the battle at the bottom of the constructors' standings has already become clear.
Aston Martin and Cadillac are the only two teams yet to trouble the scorers, both locked on zero points with a two-point gap to ninth-placed Audi.
The curious thing is that both outfits are improving, yet neither has been anywhere close to a realistic points finish. Cadillac's best result so far is Valtteri Bottas's 13th place in China, three positions shy of the top 10.
Aston Martin, remarkably, have not managed better than 15th, achieved once by Fernando Alonso in Miami and once by Lance Stroll in Canada.
The Adrian Newey-designed AMR26 has been plagued by severe Honda power unit vibrations that forced the team to detune the engine, compromising performance from the very first round.
Reliability fixes have arrived, but the team has not introduced a single major aerodynamic upgrade since Melbourne. Stroll himself indicated a significant package is not expected until the Spa or Zandvoort window, leaving Aston Martin stuck in a holding pattern.
Cadillac, by contrast, are trending in the right direction. Sergio Pérez finished three laps down in the Australian opener; by Japan he was on the lead lap.
The American outfit's qualifying deficit has shrunk considerably, and they have occasionally out-qualified both Aston Martins. They also brought their first meaningful upgrade to Miami.
A chaotic race may ultimately decide which breaks through to score a point first. With Monaco next on the calendar, attrition could yet provide the opportunity both are desperately seeking.
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