With F1 soon to return from the summer break, the conversation surrounding George Russell’s future at Mercedes is less about 'if' he deserves a new deal and more about 'when' he will sign one.
The Briton is currently without a contract for next season, but Mercedes boss Toto Wolff has insisted that Russell will be offered a new deal to remain with the team.
Alongside Russell, Mercedes’ teenage sensation Kimi Antonelli is also expected to be retained, given the time and money invested in developing the 18-year-old.
As a result, retaining Russell is likely crucial to Mercedes’ hopes of returning to the top of F1 next season, when the new power unit regulations are introduced.
If the start of the turbo-hybrid era in 2014 is anything to go by, the Silver Arrows tend to thrive when engine regulations change, making the Brackley-based outfit an early favourite for next year.
Following the departure of Lewis Hamilton, Russell has quickly adjusted to the role of team leader – a role that will only intensify if he’s in the title fight next season.
Antonelli cannot yet be expected to contend for the title in 2026, as the Italian still needs more experience fighting at the front.
Russell, on the other hand, has gained valuable experience in non-title-winning machinery since joining Mercedes in 2022, suggesting that with a championship-capable car, he could reach a new level.
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Mercedes' transition
The 2026 rules are set to be a complete game-changer for the pinnacle of motorsport. Power units will run on an almost 50/50 split between electric and combustion power, using 100% sustainable fuels, and the cars’ aerodynamics will be entirely different.
Every team will be starting from scratch – much like they did ahead of the 2014 turbo-hybrid era, which Mercedes dominated.
Unlike in 2014, Mercedes does not currently have a proven race winner on both sides of the garage – only George Russell holds that distinction within the team.
While Antonelli will face heightened expectations next year, Russell is still expected to be the stronger of the two.
All 11 teams will be working to improve their packages as quickly as possible – an area in which the King's Lynn-born driver is likely to thrive.
Mercedes has frequently praised the quality of Russell’s technical feedback, a trait that will be especially valuable when everything on the car is brand new.
Russell 2026 world champion?
With Max Verstappen having committed to Red Bull for next season, despite holding talks with Mercedes boss Toto Wolff, George Russell remains the team’s best chance of a drivers' title in 2026.
Much like they are currently doing with Antonelli, Mercedes has nurtured and developed Russell over several years, bringing him to a point where he is now capable of leading the team.
While Verstappen could become available in 2027, Russell is integral to Mercedes' hopes of making a strong start under the new regulations.
For Russell himself, next season could very well represent his best opportunity to become world champion, something he had hoped was possible back in 2022 when he first partnered Lewis Hamilton.
He has dug deep during Mercedes' struggles in the ground-effect era and may finally receive the reward he’s been pushing for in 2026: a title-winning car.
Whether it’s a one-year or multi-year deal, Russell could be the key to Mercedes reclaiming championship glory when F1’s new regulations come into effect.
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